Free · play money · win a month of Aiso

The prediction market for AI search

Bet on the arguments the GEO crowd actually has. Take a side with $1,000 in play money.

The prize: 1 month of Aiso, free

Turn your $1,000 into $2,000. As markets settle, correct bets pay out. Double up and the free month is yours.

Will ChatGPT hold more than 45% of the AI-search market next month?

71%yes

$41,280 VolEnd of next month

Will Google AI Overviews appear on 60%+ of US searches by end of 2026?

44%yes

$22,910 VolDec 31, 2026

Will Perplexity cross 50M weekly active users in 2026?

36%yes

$15,640 VolDec 31, 2026

Will Gemini top ChatGPT in any monthly usage report in 2026?

19%yes

$18,320 VolDec 31, 2026

Does adding an llms.txt file measurably improve AI-search visibility?

33%yes

$27,750 VolCommunity resolves

Does Schema.org markup increase your odds of being cited by an LLM?

58%yes

$31,120 VolCommunity resolves

Is 'answer engine optimization' just SEO with a new name?

47%yes

$19,980 VolCommunity resolves

Do LLMs cite Reddit more than any individual brand's own site in 2026?

68%yes

$24,410 VolDec 31, 2026

Will a Barry Schwartz tweet top 1 million views this week?

17%yes

$8,420 VolThis Sunday

Will Google confirm a core update in the next 30 days?

52%yes

$12,070 VolIn 30 days

Will a major LLM ship native ads inside chat answers in 2026?

46%yes

$20,510 VolDec 31, 2026

Will OpenAI launch a dedicated shopping surface in ChatGPT in 2026?

41%yes

$14,260 VolDec 31, 2026

Will AI referral traffic to brand sites 2x year-over-year in 2026?

60%yes

$17,840 VolDec 31, 2026

Will 30%+ of e-commerce brands report AI-driven sales by Q4 2026?

29%yes

$11,190 VolQ4 2026

Top traders

Live

serp_slayer

10W · 0L · 6 open

$4,820

+3,820

gpt_gambler

7W · 1L · 4 open

$3,910

+2,910

schema_maxi

6W · 2L · 3 open

$3,240

+2,240

aeo_skeptic

5W · 0L · 5 open

$2,870

+1,870

reddit_pilled

4W · 3L · 2 open

$2,410

+1,410

overview_bear

2W · 4L · 1 open

$1,980

+980

longshot_larry

1W · 3L · 2 open

$1,560

+560

Ranked by net worth. Realized P&L moves as markets settle. First to $2,000 wins a free month of Aiso.

Talk your book

There's now a prediction market for AI search. Bet on ChatGPT market share, whether llms.txt works, whether a Barry Schwartz tweet tops 1M views, all of it.

Play money, real bragging rights, and a free month of Aiso for the winners: https://www.getaiso.com/tools/geo-market

Recently settled

🟢

Did ChatGPT pass 400M weekly active users?

YES

🔎

Did 'GEO' overtake 'SEO' in Google search volume?

🟣

Did Perplexity launch a paid ads product?

YES

Betting on AI search is fun. Tracking how ChatGPT, Gemini & Claude actually rank your brand is Aiso.

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